ELECTION
FORENSICS 2007
News
Release 05
The
effect of the electoral sabotage is to cast doubt on the
electoral process and the integrity of the Comelec itself.
The effect of the sabotage strategy against the PPLs was
not to undermine the bloc’s political base but to
add another cause for making the current presidency illegitimate.
Sabotaging
an Election Machinery
By
the Policy Study, Publication and Advocacy (PSPA)
Center for People Empowerment in Governance (CenPEG)
May 31, 2007
Incidents
of cheating and manipulation of election results in the
May 14 polls were so widespread that almost every voter
can attest that the political exercise was indeed fraudulent.
Nobody, except possibly administration drumbeaters, would
bite the early declarations by Benjamin Abalos, Sr., chairman
of the Commission on Elections (Comelec), calling the
mid-term elections “fair and honest.”
Emerging
from the rough and acrimonious election politics is what
now appears as a “special project” of the
Arroyo administration, through the machineries of the
Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP), Philippine National
Police (PNP), and local election officials to marginalize
the bloc of progressive Party-lists (PPLs) in a bid to
deny them seats in the House of Representatives.
The
PPLs, led by Bayan Muna (BM or people first), which topped
the Party-list polls in 2001 and 2004, along with Anakpawis
(AP or toiling masses), Gabriela Women’s Party (GWP),
Suara Bangsamoro and Kabataan Party, were looking at garnering
some 10 to 13 seats in the 2007 elections. The government
made sure such projection would be foiled, however.
Partial
field reports received from the Task Force Poll Watch
(TFPW) 2007 show a systematic operation to undercut the
PPLs’ capability of winning votes by the use of
fraud, particularly in vote-rich towns, and military-police
intimidation, particularly in the rural areas where, for
instance, AP and Suara were expecting significant votes
cast in their favor. (TFPW is an election monitoring and
quick reaction body formed before the elections by the
PPLs and the Genuine Opposition.)
The
Arroyo government through its operators used a three-pronged
approach against the PPLs: political manipulation, psychological
warfare and armed power. Here’s why:
Accounts
showing trends and patterns characterizing this systematic
campaign have been received from several towns in 60 of
the country’s 80 provinces, with the number of incidents
reaching nearly 600 based on partial reports. Poll watchers
and Party-list activists could smell every mud and stench
thrown in nearly all corners of the country – even
in the presence of foreign observers - to make sure none
of the PPLs would win. In the next few days, more reports
are expected from these areas as well as from the rest
of the provinces that would unfold the depth and magnitude
of the government project against the PPLs.
Deliberate,
blatant and illegal
For
now, it is sufficient to conclude that to implement this
special project, armed troops, policemen as well as election
officials were used. Many cases showing fraud and intimidation
directed against the PPLs, voters and their watchers were
deliberate, blatant, and obviously illegal. If Abalos
is asking for “smoking gun” to show election
fraud and violence, these reports would amount to tons
of evidence that would take him possibly the rest of his
life to examine.
In
Pampanga, Mountain Province, Kalinga, Batangas, Cavite,
Albay, Camarines Sur and Norte, Cebu, Samar, Negros Occidental,
Biliran, Sultan Kudarat, Misamis Oriental, Shariff Kabunsuan,
and many other provinces votes for BM, Suara Bangsamoro
and other PPLs were shaved - in many cases to 0 votes.
In Upi, Shariff Kabunsuan, for example, the votes of Suara
were deleted “at gunpoint,” poll watchers
reported.
Cases
of vote padding particularly in favor of government-formed
and –supported Party-lists were reported in Isabela,
Bohol, Zamboanga Sibugay, Zamboanga del Sur, Sultan Kudarat,
Surigao del Norte, Basilan, Sulu, and other provinces.
In Isabela, northern Luzon, and Zamboanga del Sur in southern
Philippines, tens of thousands of votes were reportedly
added to ANC, APEC, Kasangga, ALIF, Ahonbayan, Coop-Natco,
and Uni-Mad.
On
May 29, the PPLs filed charges of “electoral sabotage”
with the Comelec office against the provincial canvassers
of Zamboanga Sibugay for allegedly padding the votes of
government-backed Uni-Mad and Coop-Natco. Instead of the
1,723 votes in the certificates of canvassing (COCs),
the provincial canvassers gave Coop-Natco 10,447 votes
in the statements of voting (SOVs), while Uni-Mad was
given 16,194 votes in the SOVs as against only 281 in
the COCs, lawyer Neri Colmenares said.
Vote
padding fallaciously increased the number of votes “counted”
compared to the actual votes cast, thus increasing the
2 percent threshold that a Party-list should muster to
gain one seat and this victimized, in particular, small
Party-list groups such as Kabataan and Suara. This manipulation
increased the chances of at least 3 to 5 Party-lists out
of the more than 22 formed and supported by the administration
to garner seats in the House at the expense of the genuine
Party-lists.
Intimidation
In
terms of huge clusters of votes projected to have been
lost by the PPLs, attribute that to military and police
intimidation during and after the May 14 elections. In
Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bataan, Laguna, Cavite,
the Bicol provinces, Samar, Bohol, Negros Occidental,
Compostela Valley, Misamis Occidental and other provinces
known to be bailiwicks of the PPLs, masses of voters were
disenfranchised as a result of alleged military and police
intimidation and psywar tactics Voters including barangay
officials were warned not to vote for the PPLs otherwise
the military would “get back at them,” poll
watchers reported. Threats and intimidation prevented
thousands of voters from going to the polling precincts.
During
the election, moreover, many PPL poll watchers were barred
by police, armed goons and, in many cases, by election
officials from entering the canvassing areas. Two young
poll watchers of Kabataan were abducted on May 15 in Capalonga,
Camarines Norte. Their bodies were found two days later.
In other separate incidents, three more coordinators of
Anakpawis and BM also went missing in Cagayan Valley and
Palawan.
Years
in the making
Human
rights groups and poll watchers in these provinces say
that the government sabotage of the PPLs’ electoral
machine has been years in the making. Its latest phase
began right after the 2004 elections which was topped
by BM, with AP and GWP gaining seats. Apparently, the
military was able to secure tactical information on the
electoral base of the progressive bloc – possibly
from Comelec sources – giving them ideas where armed
troops can be fielded to intimidate voters.
Equipped
with this electoral intelligence, the campaign of sabotage
was placed under government’s Operation Bantay Laya
(OBL) leading to the militarization of the suspected electoral
bailiwicks, smear campaigns and harassments against the
PPLs, their organizers and suspected supporters. Human
rights reports say that the extra-judicial executions
of hundreds of PPL activists and the abduction of scores
of others – now the subject of international scrutiny
- were part of this security strategy.
In
the recent elections, it is widely believed that the government
sabotage of the PPL machinery also included the deployment
of about 200 soldiers in 23 barangays of the National
Capital Region (NCR) to conduct anti-PPL propaganda; the
fielding of at least 22 fake Party-lists and their accreditation
by Comelec; meetings allegedly organized by top police
officials lecturing local Comelec officials about the
PPLs’ threat; and so on.
It
is too early to estimate in numbers the costs that the
progressive Party-list bloc had to pay in participating
in the recent elections. One thing is clear, however:
Nothing seems to stop masses of people from supporting
the PPLs’ political platform. Intimidation has not
deterred hundreds of thousands of other voters from casting
their votes for the “politics of change.”
The
effect of all these – as well as the fraud and violence
inflicted on the GO and other candidates – is to
cast doubt on the electoral process and the integrity
of the Comelec itself. The effect of the sabotage strategy
against the PPLs was not to undermine the bloc’s
political base but to add another cause for making the
current presidency illegitimate, as others would see it.
For
reference:
Prof.
Bobby Tuazon
PSPA / CenPEG
TelFax 9299526; Mobile Phone 09156418055
Email address: cenpeg.info@gmail.com Website: http://www.cenpeg.org
Website: www.cenpeg.org
Election
Forensics 2007 peers into the May 14 mid-term elections
particularly accounts of fraud, voters’ disenfranchisement,
vote-padding and -shaving as well as on the results and
implications. It is CenPEG’s contribution to the
monitoring, investigation and assessment of the elections
with the long-term objective of undertaking electoral
reform, policy study, and people’s governance.
CenPEG’s
Pool of Political Analysts
Through
its Policy Study, Publication and Advocacy Program (PSPA),
CenPEG’s Pool of Political Analysts and Fellows
is guided by a multi-disciplinary approach in dissecting
the issues and nuances of Philippine politics. They are:
-
Prof. Ben Lim, formerly of UP Asian Center and now with
Ateneo University;
-
Prof. Felix Muga III, Ateneo Mathematics Department;
- Prof.
Temario C. Rivera, former chairman of UP Political Science
Department who is now with the International Christian
University, Tokyo;
-
Prof. Roland Simbulan, former UP Faculty Regent and
Chair of UP-Manila’s Department of Social Sciences;
-
Prof. Luis V. Teodoro, former Dean of the UP College
of Mass Communication;
-
and Prof. Bobby Tuazon, former head of UP-Manila’s
Political Science Program, and is currently Director
of CenPEG’s Policy Study, Publication and Advocacy
(PSPA) Program
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